The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (Chinese): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1120 | 45% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1307 | 1080 | 79% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1061 | 973 | 62% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1136 | 1029 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1082.7 vs 1072.5 has a 51.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).