Danger Forward
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (11 on the archive and 54 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Italian): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2024-06-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1008 | 53% | 2022-11-20 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2016-10-24 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 1099 | 1094 | 51% | 2013-08-07 | Won |
| 697 | 973 | 17% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2006-07-08 | Lost |
| 968 | 1029 | 41% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1147 | 48% | 2002-07-06 | Won |
| 1026 | 1210 | 26% | 2001-08-22 | Won |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 1999-07-04 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1097.6 has a 39.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).