First Matanikau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1069 | 1092 | 47% | 2024-12-06 | Won |
| 1069 | 1149 | 39% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 892 | 913 | 47% | 2024-02-25 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1106 | 42% | 2024-01-08 | Lost |
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
| 895 | 809 | 62% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 983 | 1210 | 21% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1014 | 52% | 2020-07-28 | Won |
| 1210 | 1064 | 70% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2018-11-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 925 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Lost |
| 935 | 909 | 54% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-10-07 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1021 | 77% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
| 1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2002-11-21 | Won |
| 1148 | 1210 | 41% | 2002-03-18 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1044.6 has a 52.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).