Piecemeal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (British): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 878 | 832 | 57% | 2024-10-17 | Won |
| 1054 | 957 | 64% | 2024-01-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-01-17 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
| 1162 | 1137 | 54% | 2019-06-05 | Won |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 1144 | 24% | 2013-06-26 | Won |
| 949 | 973 | 47% | 2012-06-22 | Won |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1058 | 43% | 2010-02-09 | Won |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2009-04-10 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-11-12 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2006-11-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1040 | 56% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
| 1210 | 964 | 80% | 2004-05-10 | Won |
| 1220 | 1210 | 51% | 2004-05-10 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1126 | 62% | 2001-08-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-04-04 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-03-07 | Won |
| 1133 | 977 | 71% | 1997-08-03 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1080 vs 1042.7 has a 55.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).