The Defense of Luga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (12 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1027 | 1040 | 48% | 2025-08-17 | Lost |
| 871 | 1194 | 13% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 871 | 1194 | 13% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1027 | 49% | 2021-06-28 | Lost |
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2020-12-31 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1096 | 57% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1320 | 30% | 2020-03-17 | Lost |
| 1111 | 965 | 70% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-10-07 | Tied |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2014-03-01 | Tied |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2013-08-11 | Won |
| 1019 | 1037 | 47% | 2013-07-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1079.8 has a 44.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).