Tavronitis Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (43 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (New Zealand): 45
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (New Zealand): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 1058 | 30% | 2025-02-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1193 | 27% | 2025-01-22 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1011 | 56% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-02-05 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-01-24 | Lost |
| 964 | 940 | 53% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 964 | 940 | 53% | 2023-12-21 | Won |
| 964 | 940 | 53% | 2023-12-08 | Lost |
| 975 | 966 | 51% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1136 | 964 | 73% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 911 | 956 | 44% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 928 | 911 | 52% | 2022-01-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 753 | 83% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 955 | 72% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 968 | 1049 | 39% | 2021-02-10 | Won |
| 1034 | 1047 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1049 | 1005 | 56% | 2020-02-09 | Won |
| 1035 | 911 | 67% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 912 | 976 | 41% | 2020-01-09 | Lost |
| 925 | 885 | 56% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 967 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-03-04 | Won |
| 1026 | 1114 | 38% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 973 | 911 | 59% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 949 | 903 | 57% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1020 | 911 | 65% | 2017-06-04 | Won |
| 1054 | 1244 | 25% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1056 | 911 | 70% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 957 | 1017 | 41% | 2016-12-31 | Won |
| 1032 | 1088 | 42% | 2016-11-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1075 | 49% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 995 | 931 | 59% | 2016-06-22 | Won |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2015-08-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1026 | 52% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 1026 | 1038 | 48% | 2013-08-05 | Won |
| 957 | 919 | 55% | 2013-06-21 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-07-04 | Tied |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-06-11 | Won |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2011-05-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 997 | 55% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1010 | 51% | 2009-10-13 | Won |
| 1210 | 1121 | 63% | 2002-11-16 | Won |
| 1112 | 829 | 84% | 2002-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1009.1 vs 988.4 has a 52.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).