Good Night, Sweet Prince
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (21 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (Danish): 78
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2025-02-15 | Tied |
| 943 | 1032 | 37% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1106 | 952 | 71% | 2022-03-29 | Won |
| 1219 | 959 | 82% | 2018-11-20 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1066 | 44% | 2017-09-08 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1210 | 51% | 2016-11-10 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2016-06-01 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 932 | 1127 | 25% | 2015-06-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 938 | 64% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 913 | 1026 | 34% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 989 | 78% | 2004-10-26 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1118 | 63% | 2000-05-07 | Won |
| 1010 | 908 | 64% | 1999-06-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1082 | 41% | 1999-02-26 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 1999-01-31 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 1998-12-12 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1142 | 49% | 1998-10-26 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1074.2 vs 1051.5 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).