Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (10 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1082 | 1155 | 40% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1049 | 995 | 58% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1042 | 1027 | 52% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1032 | 943 | 63% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1006 | 62% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1210 | 36% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1054.2 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).