Two If By Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (8 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 1002 | 57% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2025-09-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 940 | 63% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1282 | 1170 | 66% | 2025-08-15 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1182 | 26% | 2025-08-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1014 | 72% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1109 | 913 | 76% | 2025-07-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 958 | 66% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1101 vs 1022 has a 61.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).