First Dance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (3 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1174 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Won |
| 1037 | 1018 | 53% | 2025-10-19 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-10-07 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1046.3 has a 50.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).