Death of the Porcupine
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (3 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 1
Defender wins (German): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
848 | 848 | 50% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
1210 | 959 | 81% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
1054 | 957 | 64% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 921.3 has a 66.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).