Road To Merdjayoun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (3 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Vichy): 7
Defender wins (British): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1212 | 1212 | 50% | 2025-11-15 | Won |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2023-09-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2023-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1145.7 vs 1061.3 has a 61.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).