Without Thought of Numbers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (13 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 20
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 993 | 50% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1125 | 940 | 74% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1073 | 971 | 64% | 2023-10-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1057 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1018 | 63% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1087 | 41% | 2023-05-02 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2023-03-18 | Won |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 1079 | 41% | 2023-03-11 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.6 vs 1032 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).