Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (26 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German (SS)): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1116 | 911 | 76% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
1137 | 911 | 79% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
1137 | 1116 | 53% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
1038 | 883 | 71% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
883 | 1033 | 30% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
1285 | 1210 | 61% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
1116 | 1087 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
1316 | 1407 | 37% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
1032 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
919 | 1082 | 28% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
1032 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
1210 | 990 | 78% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
976 | 1210 | 21% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
1016 | 1040 | 47% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
969 | 1145 | 27% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
969 | 1032 | 41% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
836 | 848 | 48% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
1085 | 1210 | 33% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
988 | 911 | 61% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
1032 | 1231 | 24% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
1285 | 1032 | 81% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
1054 | 957 | 64% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1069.3 has a 51.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).