Unhorsed
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (26 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German (SS)): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 911 | 76% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1137 | 893 | 80% | 2025-03-28 | Won |
| 1137 | 1116 | 53% | 2024-09-12 | Lost |
| 1038 | 882 | 71% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 882 | 1051 | 27% | 2024-07-27 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1189 | 63% | 2024-06-24 | Won |
| 1116 | 1087 | 54% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1310 | 1412 | 36% | 2024-06-23 | Lost |
| 971 | 1030 | 42% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 919 | 1090 | 27% | 2024-06-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 1030 | 42% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1189 | 990 | 76% | 2024-05-12 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2024-04-22 | Won |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
| 970 | 1145 | 27% | 2024-03-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2024-02-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 971 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1252 | 28% | 2024-01-23 | Lost |
| 988 | 893 | 63% | 2024-01-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1046 | 80% | 2023-04-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
| 1044 | 931 | 66% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1073.4 vs 1062 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).