Sternebeck's Sortie
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 968 | 1120 | 29% | 2024-12-17 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1057 | 63% | 2024-03-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1044 | 50% | 2024-01-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-08-06 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1122 | 51% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 749 | 1306 | 4% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 789 | 1018 | 21% | 2023-04-12 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1275 | 48% | 2023-04-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1033 | 48% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2023-04-03 | Lost |
| 1039 | 970 | 60% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1132 | 26% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1086 | 909 | 73% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1009 | 59% | 2023-02-26 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1095 | 52% | 2023-02-17 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1028 | 58% | 2023-01-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 910 | 73% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1264 | 33% | 2022-11-04 | Lost |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1252 | 913 | 88% | 2022-06-03 | Won |
| 968 | 909 | 58% | 2022-05-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2022-05-13 | Won |
| 1032 | 1204 | 27% | 2022-04-25 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1062.9 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).