Villy Muss Fallen! West
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (8 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1228 | 43% | 2024-10-06 | Won |
| 1204 | 1113 | 63% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1137 | 51% | 2023-11-08 | Won |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2023-07-03 | Won |
| 1228 | 1180 | 57% | 2022-11-13 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1136 | 47% | 2022-10-02 | Lost |
| 806 | 1003 | 24% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1015 | 87% | 2021-11-14 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1152.6 vs 1096.3 has a 58.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).