Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (7 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1213 | 45% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1204 | 1113 | 63% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 958 | 1117 | 29% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1003 | 806 | 76% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 879 | 920 | 44% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1020.1 has a 56.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).