Forest Gumm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 30
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1038 | 56% | 2025-02-16 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1116 | 46% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 789 | 1022 | 21% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1011 | 42% | 2024-01-07 | Won |
| 1062 | 1009 | 58% | 2023-11-13 | Won |
| 1210 | 1219 | 49% | 2023-01-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 966 | 73% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2022-12-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2021-12-29 | Lost |
| 1210 | 785 | 92% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 969 | 951 | 53% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1044.7 has a 54.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).