The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (American): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 942 | 48% | 2024-01-15 | Lost |
| 749 | 1306 | 4% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1094 | 44% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 910 | 970 | 41% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1080 | 48% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 931 | 66% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1119 | 1090 | 54% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1219 | 40% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1011 | 51% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1054.7 has a 47.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).