Where The Reindeer Dare Not Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (5 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1052 | 34% | 2025-08-25 | Won |
| 1102 | 1075 | 54% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 979 | 72% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 958 | 57% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.8 vs 1017.2 has a 56.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).