Chances Are Slim
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-09-29 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1407 | 24% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1028 | 52% | 2022-04-02 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1059 | 48% | 2021-05-23 | Won |
| 989 | 938 | 57% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1078 | 57% | 2021-03-20 | Won |
| 911 | 1029 | 34% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1210 | 1054 | 71% | 2020-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1092.5 vs 1078.1 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).