Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 103 (35 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 48
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 55
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1141 | 24% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2025-01-13 | Won |
| 1046 | 1050 | 49% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 931 | 1044 | 34% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1128 | 1101 | 54% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 980 | 968 | 52% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1136 | 51% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 959 | 63% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 1125 | 1094 | 54% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 971 | 1132 | 28% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1175 | 1086 | 63% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1109 | 76% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 929 | 937 | 49% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1047 | 46% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1040 | 57% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1191 | 1141 | 57% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1292 | 30% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 883 | 1116 | 21% | 2021-06-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 970 | 63% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1106 | 991 | 66% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1009 | 47% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1264 | 19% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1116 | 54% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 938 | 1219 | 17% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1085 | 72% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 913 | 1007 | 37% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1090 | 46% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1189 | 27% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1095 | 67% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.7 vs 1079.2 has a 47.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).