Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (18 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 929 | 51% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 931 | 1044 | 34% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1080 | 38% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 971 | 986 | 48% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1136 | 52% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1125 | 31% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1055 | 1094 | 44% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1007 | 913 | 63% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 995 | 970 | 54% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1058 | 1106 | 43% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1029 | 83% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1062.6 has a 46.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).