Eight Million Bayonets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (18 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 26
Defender wins (Greek): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 944 | 49% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 957 | 1054 | 36% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 992 | 1061 | 40% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1032 | 1007 | 54% | 2021-05-24 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1339 | 33% | 2021-04-21 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2021-03-25 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1133 | 53% | 2021-03-07 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2021-02-11 | Won |
| 1207 | 1032 | 73% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1007 | 937 | 60% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1015 | 969 | 57% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1038 | 1126 | 38% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1157 | 1009 | 70% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 900 | 1009 | 35% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1316 | 1029 | 84% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1073.8 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).