A Less Peaceful Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (9 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 10
Defender wins (Filipino): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 991 | 56% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
| 1055 | 1038 | 52% | 2022-02-23 | Won |
| 1141 | 925 | 78% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 955 | 955 | 50% | 2022-02-20 | Lost |
| 1018 | 925 | 63% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 984 | 1044 | 41% | 2022-01-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1106 | 37% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 1032 | 971 | 59% | 2020-08-20 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1042.4 has a 54.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).