Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (10 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 14
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1032 | 74% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1095 | 67% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
| 789 | 890 | 36% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1014 | 82% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1307 | 32% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 1106 | 21% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
| 957 | 1282 | 13% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1071.6 vs 1083.6 has a 48.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).