Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (15 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 12
Defender wins (German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 912 | 62% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
| 1204 | 1244 | 44% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
| 991 | 983 | 51% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 1086 | 1082 | 51% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 1019 | 60% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 931 | 1306 | 10% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 1009 | 991 | 53% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
| 1306 | 1141 | 72% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
| 1086 | 1081 | 51% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
| 971 | 1132 | 28% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1084.8 vs 1076.5 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).