A Sideshow Affair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (10 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 9
Defender wins (Japanese): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1306 | 931 | 90% | 2025-06-20 | Won |
| 991 | 1009 | 47% | 2021-07-03 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1106 | 37% | 2020-11-21 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2020-09-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1228 | 34% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-06-22 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
| 1044 | 984 | 59% | 2020-04-03 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2020-03-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1032 | 41% | 2019-09-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.6 vs 1078.3 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).