One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German ): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1165 | 53% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 971 | 877 | 63% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 879 | 1125 | 20% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.9 vs 1025 has a 56.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).