Fish to Fry
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 8
Defender wins (North Korean): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2023-05-21 | Won |
| 1067 | 1090 | 47% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1110 | 37% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2020-11-01 | Won |
| 909 | 1086 | 27% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1136 | 43% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1024 | 59% | 2019-01-12 | Won |
| 1125 | 1085 | 56% | 2018-12-17 | Won |
| 974 | 1125 | 30% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1081.9 has a 46.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).