Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1005 | 55% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 997 | 971 | 54% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1066 | 52% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1080 | 45% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1094 | 1014 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 991 | 61% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 899 | 968 | 40% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 970 | 1223 | 19% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1252 | 45% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1018 | 59% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1100 | 37% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 1125 | 19% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1088 | 72% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 971 | 1009 | 45% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1090 | 53% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1043 | 966 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.8 vs 1068.7 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).