Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (26 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 958 | 55% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1074 | 65% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1052 | 49% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 1015 | 63% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1060 | 989 | 60% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1021 | 1226 | 24% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1204 | 52% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1003 | 59% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1075 | 53% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1132 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1011 | 1098 | 38% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 876 | 1089 | 23% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1094 | 65% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 958 | 1014 | 42% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1065 | 58% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 858 | 86% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1054 | 981 | 60% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.9 vs 1061.5 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).