Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (13 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1069 | 56% | 2025-11-23 | Won |
| 1015 | 1204 | 25% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1102 | 41% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 940 | 1009 | 40% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1050 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1167 | 929 | 80% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1089 | 52% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1137 | 1013 | 67% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1340 | 1090 | 81% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 958 | 62% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 883 | 82% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1040 has a 55.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).