The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 884 | 913 | 46% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1271 | 1058 | 77% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 968 | 1087 | 34% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 910 | 72% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
| 1090 | 1067 | 53% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 933 | 62% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1071 | 51% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1055 | 56% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1136 | 62% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1084 | 33% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1021.4 has a 56.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).