Balloons, Cakes and Ponies
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 940 | 65% | 2024-12-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2019-01-01 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2018-11-22 | Lost |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2018-08-30 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1016 | 59% | 2018-07-28 | Lost |
| 1216 | 925 | 84% | 2018-06-29 | Lost |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1086.9 vs 1030.1 has a 58.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).