The Right Nostril
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (4 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1210 | 1048 | 72% | 2024-10-03 | Won |
| 968 | 1030 | 41% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1051.3 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).