Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (19 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1189 | 1018 | 73% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1271 | 1141 | 68% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1018 | 41% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 889 | 1018 | 32% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1042 | 1014 | 54% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 892 | 67% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 889 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1090 | 55% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1059 | 910 | 70% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1310 | 24% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1018 | 970 | 57% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1136 | 66% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1151 | 49% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1106 | 985 | 67% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1070.9 vs 1049.9 has a 53.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).