Ambush on South Knob
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (12 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (American): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1252 | 831 | 92% | 2025-01-18 | Won |
| 1046 | 1003 | 56% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 893 | 66% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1219 | 20% | 2020-03-03 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
| 877 | 971 | 37% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1136 | 909 | 79% | 2017-11-17 | Won |
| 1058 | 861 | 76% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1058 | 889 | 73% | 2017-10-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1069 | 43% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1130 | 47% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 985.8 has a 60.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).