Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (10 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 961 | 43% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 958 | 993 | 45% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1340 | 12% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1204 | 1048 | 71% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1174 | 24% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1217 | 989 | 79% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1052 | 52% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 958 | 974 | 48% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041 vs 1071.9 has a 45.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).