The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 936 | 53% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1018 | 959 | 58% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
| 958 | 879 | 61% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 958 | 958 | 50% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
| 909 | 879 | 54% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
| 1216 | 958 | 82% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 965 | 58% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
| 1174 | 970 | 76% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 1089 | 876 | 77% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 958 | 68% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.2 vs 971 has a 60.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).