Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (American): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1037 | 32% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1047 | 1042 | 51% | 2025-04-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1216 | 50% | 2025-03-04 | Lost |
| 911 | 982 | 40% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
| 971 | 1165 | 25% | 2024-06-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 1116 | 64% | 2024-06-08 | Won |
| 928 | 911 | 52% | 2024-01-29 | Won |
| 831 | 911 | 39% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
| 1030 | 968 | 59% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 911 | 65% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 968 | 61% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 968 | 59% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 939 | 911 | 54% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 950 | 947 | 50% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1224 | 49% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
| 943 | 971 | 46% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1016 | 73% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 1016 | 63% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
| 924 | 1216 | 16% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 1087 | 900 | 75% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-02-24 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1038 | 69% | 2019-12-06 | Won |
| 1022 | 967 | 58% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 911 | 1002 | 37% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 998 | 1031 | 45% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1219 | 26% | 2018-06-18 | Lost |
| 869 | 887 | 47% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 1038 | 911 | 68% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 931 | 53% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1088 | 42% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
| 900 | 931 | 46% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1090 | 931 | 71% | 2016-01-26 | Won |
| 991 | 1193 | 24% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1007.7 vs 1011.4 has a 49.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).