Mook Point
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 119 (27 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (American): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2023-09-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-03-19 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-07-17 | Won |
| 1106 | 1210 | 35% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1306 | 1145 | 72% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 749 | 1306 | 4% | 2020-10-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 930 | 73% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2019-06-07 | Won |
| 1157 | 1161 | 49% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-05-16 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 987 | 1009 | 47% | 2018-04-28 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2018-01-16 | Won |
| 1079 | 959 | 67% | 2018-01-09 | Won |
| 1027 | 1084 | 42% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 993 | 1158 | 28% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
| 1310 | 983 | 87% | 2017-06-10 | Won |
| 1090 | 1091 | 50% | 2017-05-21 | Won |
| 1005 | 1039 | 45% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 960 | 1080 | 33% | 2016-04-02 | Won |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2016-01-27 | Won |
| 1097 | 1018 | 61% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 1107 | 43% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2015-10-05 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1071.5 vs 1063.2 has a 51.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).