First Ally
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (18 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 21
Defender wins (Slovakian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 1107 | 21% | 2025-09-11 | Lost |
| 1117 | 905 | 77% | 2023-07-20 | Won |
| 958 | 992 | 45% | 2023-07-18 | Lost |
| 948 | 958 | 49% | 2023-02-13 | Won |
| 1109 | 1056 | 58% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1135 | 1036 | 64% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
| 968 | 1009 | 44% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 1214 | 1151 | 59% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 927 | 1078 | 30% | 2017-08-28 | Lost |
| 962 | 1167 | 24% | 2017-08-22 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2016-02-29 | Won |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1100 | 51% | 2015-11-11 | Won |
| 1007 | 1003 | 51% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1011 | 60% | 2015-10-03 | Lost |
| 1003 | 932 | 60% | 1988-02-26 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1036.8 vs 1029.1 has a 51.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).