To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (16 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (British): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1032 | 38% | 2025-10-11 | Lost |
| 997 | 1083 | 38% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 931 | 1003 | 40% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1135 | 46% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 1174 | 56% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1340 | 17% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1043 | 66% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1151 | 55% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 901 | 1052 | 30% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 1016 | 879 | 69% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1078 | 955 | 67% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1105 | 1174 | 40% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1059 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074.1 vs 1079.3 has a 49.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).