To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (15 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 30
Defender wins (Japanese): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1242 | 970 | 83% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1090 | 33% | 2022-01-11 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1018 | 62% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2018-08-14 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1088 | 72% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1115 | 53% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1094 | 44% | 2015-08-30 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1018 | 68% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1058 | 38% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1110 | 31% | 2014-09-13 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1055 | 56% | 2014-08-14 | Lost |
| 928 | 931 | 50% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1083.4 vs 1050 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).