Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (19 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1141 | 1282 | 31% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
1032 | 1207 | 27% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
976 | 1038 | 41% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
853 | 1009 | 29% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
1316 | 1025 | 84% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
1166 | 1223 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1007 | 989 | 53% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
1210 | 962 | 81% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
1077 | 1098 | 47% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
974 | 1099 | 33% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
1151 | 1126 | 54% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
1085 | 1058 | 54% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1126 | 1125 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1132 | 1038 | 63% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
988 | 1094 | 35% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1029 | 963 | 59% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
990 | 1117 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1074.3 vs 1082.2 has a 48.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).