Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (22 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1048 | 49% | 2025-11-25 | Won |
| 1137 | 1216 | 39% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 973 | 1118 | 30% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 978 | 1078 | 36% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 1068 | 35% | 2017-07-15 | Lost |
| 858 | 972 | 34% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1037 | 85% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
| 1169 | 1226 | 42% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
| 1097 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1022 | 879 | 69% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 1213 | 1229 | 48% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1099 | 34% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1121 | 52% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
| 1126 | 1125 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1059 | 71% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1183 | 45% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1078 | 60% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1124 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 949 | 1089 | 31% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 958 | 56% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 990 | 1117 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1074.6 vs 1086.7 has a 48.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).