Shanghai in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (20 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Chinese): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Japanese): 1
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 865 | 77% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 995 | 1049 | 42% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 1043 | 1181 | 31% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 885 | 1219 | 13% | 2020-09-07 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1088 | 44% | 2020-08-05 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1048 | 72% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1121 | 46% | 2018-12-26 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1042 | 48% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1115 | 65% | 2018-07-10 | Won |
| 957 | 959 | 50% | 2017-11-12 | Won |
| 1106 | 1029 | 61% | 2017-10-07 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1029 | 60% | 2016-10-25 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2016-03-12 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1040 | 48% | 2014-12-03 | Lost |
| 960 | 1193 | 21% | 2014-09-07 | Lost |
| 1015 | 947 | 60% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
| 957 | 1193 | 20% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1219 | 28% | 2013-12-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 976 | 59% | 2013-11-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 889 | 69% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.3 vs 1060.9 has a 46.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).