Operation Natzmer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (22 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 1094 | 1165 | 40% | 2022-11-07 | Won |
| 957 | 957 | 50% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
| 986 | 968 | 53% | 2022-07-08 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1073 | 50% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 962 | 1026 | 41% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
| 984 | 1054 | 40% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 1032 | 1068 | 45% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 945 | 1431 | 6% | 2020-10-21 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 2020-07-04 | Won |
| 1034 | 911 | 67% | 2020-04-17 | Lost |
| 967 | 1109 | 31% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1004 | 1032 | 46% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1002 | 54% | 2017-02-02 | Won |
| 1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-13 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-10-20 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1147 | 84% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
| 1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1032 | 42% | 2013-11-04 | Won |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1091.5 has a 46.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).