The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1122 | 868 | 81% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 970 | 1223 | 19% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-11-29 | Lost |
| 945 | 1037 | 37% | 2020-07-17 | Lost |
| 992 | 1264 | 17% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 931 | 1306 | 10% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 971 | 1132 | 28% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
| 1147 | 1086 | 59% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 889 | 76% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 967 | 81% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1126 | 50% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1080 | 969 | 65% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1112 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1050 | 57% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1062.5 has a 46.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).