Severnaya Serenade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (6 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1072 | 51% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1023 | 779 | 80% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 984 | 1212 | 21% | 2014-11-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2013-06-20 | Lost |
| 1226 | 853 | 90% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1100.8 vs 1018.8 has a 61.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).