Red Banner Days
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 879 | 854 | 54% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
| 1091 | 1292 | 24% | 2015-08-10 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1009 | 84% | 2014-03-09 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1067.4 vs 1054.9 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).