Mageret Mixer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-12-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1031 | 52% | 2020-08-22 | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2018-01-28 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2016-02-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2016-02-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-12-20 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1099 | 45% | 2014-05-26 | Won |
| 1067 | 1340 | 17% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 1217 | 34% | 2014-02-16 | Won |
| 999 | 1054 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
| 963 | 1009 | 43% | 2013-08-28 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1040 | 84% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2013-05-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1145 | 40% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1083 | 997 | 62% | 2013-02-13 | Won |
| 1204 | 958 | 80% | 2013-01-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1064 | 49% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-01-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 870 | 79% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1007 | 66% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1076.7 vs 1061 has a 52.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).